Varvara Gracheva vs Kamilla RakhimovaNanchang Round of 32

Nanchang · WTA · Round of 32
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
#78WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
Gracheva V.
6-3 6-4
Rakhimova K.
Gracheva V.
662
Rakhimova K.
340

Varvara Gracheva defeated Kamilla Rakhimova 6-3 6-4 in the Nanchang round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kamilla Rakhimova came in ranked #78, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Varvara Gracheva claimed a first win over Kamilla Rakhimova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-09Hong KongR32hardKamilla Rakhimova6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rakhimova K.

Rakhimova K.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Rakhimova K.
3
Serve
4
27
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (192 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
74
47
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
67
Break points won·Even
87
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
62
Tiebreaks·Dominant
65
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+92 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1671
6.2Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1693
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.4
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Rakhimova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast