Katerina Siniakova vs Marie BouzkovaNanchang Final

Nanchang · WTA · Final
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
#23WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$844kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Siniakova K.
1-6 7-6 7-6
Bouzkova M.
Siniakova K.
177772
Bouzkova M.
665641

Katerina Siniakova defeated Marie Bouzkova 1-6 7-6 7-6 in the Nanchang final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marie Bouzkova came in ranked #23. Katerina Siniakova extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-18StrasbourgR32clayMarie Bouzkova7.7-6.3 6-3
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR128clayKaterina Siniakova6-0 4-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Bouzkova M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Bouzkova M.
21
Serve
10
64
Return
81

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 165). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
79
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
90
Break points won·Even
94
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
90
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+9 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1798
5.3Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1871
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
5.9
Fatigue & Travel
2.3
Minutes 14d
5.3
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
81

Siniakova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bouzkova M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast