Kamilla Rakhimova vs Varvara GrachevaHong Kong Round of 32

Hong Kong · WTA · Round of 32
#70WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023
hard
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Rakhimova K.
6-3 6-2
Gracheva V.
Rakhimova K.
662
Gracheva V.
320

Kamilla Rakhimova defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-3 6-2 in the Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Kamilla Rakhimova claimed a first win over Varvara Gracheva in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-16NanchangR32hardVarvara Gracheva6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rakhimova K.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rakhimova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rakhimova K.Gracheva V.
4
Serve
3
42
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 192). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
47
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
67
76
Break points won·Even
91
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
62
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1671
Surface ELO
6.0+92 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1693
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1810
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
3.9
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
6.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Rakhimova K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast