Liudmila Samsonova vs Aryna SabalenkaMontreal Round of 16

Montreal · WTA · Round of 16
#69WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 11 August 2023 ·
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Samsonova L.
7-6 4-6 6-3
Sabalenka A.
Samsonova L.
77462
Sabalenka A.
62631

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 7-6 4-6 6-3 in the Montreal round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 7–2. Liudmila Samsonova narrowed the head-to-head to 7–3.

Key context

Head to head

27
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-09WuhanR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2025-10-06WuhanR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2025-03-13Indian WellsQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2025-03-05Indian WellsQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2024-08-17CincinnatiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2024-08-12CincinnatiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2023-08-07MontrealR16hardLiudmila Samsonova7-6 4-6 6-3
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R16hardAryna Sabalenka7-6 7-6
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R32hardLiudmila Samsonova6-4 2-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.7
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
33
100
Break points saved·Dominant
44
89
Break points won·Slight edge
87
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
22
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Sabalenka A.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw