Jelena Ostapenko vs Daria Kasatkina — Rome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT20
Jelena Ostapenko
#31WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
Daria Kasatkina
AUS8
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Ostapenko J.
6-4 4-6 6-0
Kasatkina D.
Ostapenko J.
6462
Kasatkina D.
4601

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-4 4-6 6-0 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 64. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

4–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-08AdelaideFhardJelena Ostapenko6-3 6-2
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassJelena Ostapenko6-1 3-6 8-6
2021-06-21EastbourneQFgrassJelena Ostapenko1-6 7-5 6-2
2017-08-28US OpenR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-2
2017-04-03CharlestonFclayDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-1
2016-06-20EastbourneR64grassJelena Ostapenko4-6 6-2 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ostapenko J.Kasatkina D.
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
41%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.4
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 184). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ostapenko J.Kasatkina D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Even
79
80
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ostapenko J.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Kasatkina D.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+39 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1770
5.2Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
5.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ostapenko J.Kasatkina D.
Freshness·Even
92
90

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[7]
Kalinina A.[30]
6-41-0
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[7]
Ostapenko J.[20]
6-26-4
Kalinina A.[30]
Kudermetova V.[11]
7-55-76-2
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[7]
Swiatek I.[1]
2-67-632-2
Kudermetova V.[11]
Zheng Q.[22]
3-66-36-4
Kalinina A.[30]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
6-727-666-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Badosa P.
6-24-66-3
R16
Kalinina A.[30]
Keys M.[19]
2-66-26-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Vekic D.[21]
6-36-4
Zheng Q.[22]
Wang X.
6-43-66-1
Badosa P.
Muchova K.
6-46-746-2
Kudermetova V.[11]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-26-2
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-44-66-0
Rybakina E.[7]
Vondrousova M.
6-36-3
R32
Vondrousova M.
Sakkari M.[9]
7-56-3
Zheng Q.[22]
Bondar A.
7-626-4
Wang X.
Townsend T.
6-20-67-5
Osorio C.
Garcia C.[5]
6-46-4
Keys M.[19]
Azarenka V.[14]
W/O
Kalinina A.[30]
Kenin S.
6-46-2
Kasatkina D.[8]
Grabher J.
7-54-67-62
Rybakina E.[7]
Kalinskaya A.
4-3
Bouzkova M.[27]
Gauff C.[6]
4-66-26-2
Muchova K.
Giorgi C.
7-646-2
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Linette M.[17]
7-56-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Tsurenko L.
6-26-0
Vekic D.[21]
Samsonova L.[16]
2-67-656-2
Badosa P.
Kostyuk M.[32]
6-46-2
Ostapenko J.[20]
Krejcikova B.[10]
7-626-0
Kudermetova V.[11]
Potapova A.[23]
7-53-66-1
R64
Vondrousova M.
Andreescu B.[24]
6-06-1
Kalinskaya A.
Mertens E.[25]
6-44-66-3
Rybakina E.[7]
Paolini J.
7-646-1
Badosa P.
Jabeur O.[4]
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.[10]
Kovinic D.
6-24-1
Kasatkina D.[8]
Pigato L.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-1
Potapova A.[23]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-4
Azarenka V.[14]
Stephens S.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Cirstea S.
6-33-66-2
Tsurenko L.
Pera B.[28]
6-46-4
Townsend T.
Pegula J.[3]
6-23-66-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-0
Vekic D.[21]
Sasnovich A.
3-66-36-3
Samsonova L.[16]
Kontaveit A.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Strycova B.
6-16-3
Kostyuk M.[32]
Liu C.
6-06-4
Muchova K.
Trevisan M.[18]
3-66-37-5
Giorgi C.
Alexandrova E.[15]
6-46-2
Grabher J.
Teichmann J.[26]
7-645-76-3
Zheng Q.[22]
Cornet A.
6-37-62
Garcia C.[5]
Bogdan A.
6-43-67-5
Osorio C.
Martic P.[29]
6-46-2
Linette M.[17]
Noskova L.
7-646-1
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Ruse E.
6-26-3
Keys M.[19]
Frech M.
6-36-2
Kalinina A.[30]
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
Kenin S.
Sabalenka A.[2]
7-646-2
Wang X.
Begu I.[31]
6-47-5
Kudermetova V.[11]
Parrizas Diaz N.
7-56-2
Bondar A.
Pliskova K.[13]
7-656-2
Bouzkova M.[27]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
R128
Vondrousova M.
Kanepi K.
6-04-66-2
Paolini J.
Wang X.
6-46-736-2
Strycova B.
Zanevska M.
6-13-66-3
Wang X.
Stefanini L.
7-627-62
Kovinic D.
Bronzetti L.
6-33-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fernandez L.
7-644-66-3
Kontaveit A.
Parks A.
6-16-1
Badosa P.
Friedsam A.
4-66-27-62
Liu C.
Rosatello C.
6-796-26-2
Muchova K.
Rakhimova K.
6-47-5
Giorgi C.
Rus A.
4-66-26-3
Cirstea S.
Volynets K.
2-66-36-4
Cocciaretto E.
Davis L.
6-36-0
Parrizas Diaz N.
Niemeier J.
4-66-46-2
Cornet A.
Martincova T.
7-626-4
Townsend T.
Bonaventure Y.
4-66-17-5
Osorio C.
Gracheva V.
7-641-67-64
Ruse E.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-16-0
Frech M.
Paoletti M.
4-66-27-5
Blinkova A.
Sherif M.
2-66-26-3
Kenin S.
Bucsa C.
6-36-787-5
Tsurenko L.
Svitolina E.
6-46-3
Stephens S.
Podoroska N.
6-46-1
Grabher J.
Brancaccio N.
6-43-66-2
Mcnally C.
Spiteri D.
6-06-1
Bondar A.
Maria T.
6-46-1
Pigato L.
Cherubini D.
7-52-66-3
Putintseva Y.
Tomova V.
6-757-636-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Errani S.
6-16-1
Noskova L.
Rogers S.
4-66-16-4
Kalinskaya A.
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Bogdan A.
Hibino N.
7-56-0