Jelena Ostapenko vs Daria KasatkinaWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#31WTA
1855ELO
1770Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 June 2021
grass
#65WTA
1795ELO
1666Grass ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Ostapenko J.
6-1 3-6 8-6
Kasatkina D.
Ostapenko J.
6382
Kasatkina D.
1661

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-1 3-6 8-6 in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Jelena Ostapenko came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 3–6 8–6.

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-08AdelaideFhardJelena Ostapenko6-3 6-2
2023-05-08RomeR16clayJelena Ostapenko6-4 4-6 6-0
2021-06-21EastbourneQFgrassJelena Ostapenko1-6 7-5 6-2
2017-08-28US OpenR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-2
2017-04-03CharlestonFclayDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-1
2016-06-20EastbourneR64grassJelena Ostapenko4-6 6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
41%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Even
79
80
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.5+104 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Grass Elo 1666
5.2Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1795
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.8
Surface form
6.8
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.5
Minutes 14d
1.6
0.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.2
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
89

Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw

R128
Ahn K.
Watson H.
2-67-638-6
Giorgi C.
Teichmann J.[24]
6-26-2
Zhu L.[30]
Barthel M.
6-726-36-3
Pliskova K.[8]
Zidansek T.[26]
7-56-4
Begu I.
Volynets K.[5]
6-47-5
Siniakova K.[32]
Wang Y.
6-16-0
Petkovic A.
Paolini J.[13]
6-46-3
Kostyuk M.[12]
Bertens K.[17]
6-36-4
Ostapenko J.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-16-2
Cornet A.
Andreescu B.
6-26-1
Linette M.
Anisimova A.[6]
2-66-36-1
Mertens E.[25]
Dart H.
6-16-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Niculescu M.
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.[14]
Tauson C.[24]
6-36-2
Muchova K.[10]
Zhang S.
6-36-3
Raducanu E.[30]
Diatchenko V.
7-646-0
Cirstea S.[17]
Murray S.
6-36-3
Juvan K.
Bencic B.[11]
6-36-3
Gauff C.[7]
Jones F.
7-56-4
Liu C.
Doi M.
2-66-39-7
Rybakina E.[2]
Mladenovic K.
6-46-0
Alexandrova E.[18]
Siegemund L.
6-16-3
Osorio C.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
1-66-06-4
Svitolina E.[8]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-32-66-3
Sasnovich A.[15]
Williams S.[6]
3-3
Podoroska N.
Li A.[28]
6-47-61
Samsonova L.
Kanepi K.
6-46-2
Golubic V.
Kudermetova V.[29]
3-66-111-9
Swiatek I.[3]
Hsieh S.
6-46-4
Zvonareva V.
Bouzkova M.[21]
7-56-4
Pattinama Kerkhove L.
Kuznetsova S.
6-36-3
Burel C.
Perez E.
6-26-2
Barty A.[1]
Suarez Navarro C.
6-16-716-1
Vandeweghe C.
Govortsova O.
6-46-2
Badosa P.[30]
Bolsova A.
6-25-76-2
Pliskova K.
Sharma A.
3-66-46-4
Pegula J.[4]
Garcia C.
6-36-1
Martincova T.
Riske Amritraj A.[28]
6-24-66-1
Blinkova A.
Babos T.
6-26-2
Sevastova A.
Diyas Z.
6-46-1
Kasatkina D.[31]
Tig P.
6-03-66-3
Tomljanovic A.
Minnen G.
6-27-65
Putintseva Y.
Pironkova T.
6-36-1
Pavlyuchenkova A.[16]
Bogdan A.
6-26-2
Vesnina E.
Trevisan M.
7-56-1
Kerber A.[25]
Stojanovic N.
6-46-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Konjuh A.
6-33-66-3
Hibino N.
Pera B.
6-15-76-3
Vekic D.[31]
Potapova A.[27]
6-16-4
Stephens S.
Kvitova P.[10]
6-36-4
Davis L.
Burrage J.
6-26-1
Keys M.[26]
Swan K.
6-36-4
Collins D.
Hercog P.
4-66-36-2
Brengle M.
Mchale C.
3-67-510-8
Kenin S.[4]
Wang X.
6-46-2
Martic P.[26]
Gracheva V.
6-736-46-3
Muguruza G.[11]
Ferro F.
6-06-1
Sakkari M.[15]
Rus A.
6-16-1
Jabeur O.[21]
Peterson R.
6-26-1
Williams V.
Buzarnescu M.
7-54-66-3
Rogers S.
Stosur S.
6-15-76-3
Boulter K.
Lao D.
6-766-36-4
Azarenka V.[12]
Baindl K.
6-16-3
Vondrousova M.
Kontaveit A.[24]
2-66-46-2