Jelena Ostapenko vs Daria KasatkinaEastbourne Quarter-final

Eastbourne · WTA · Quarter-final
#29WTA
1855ELO
1770Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 June 2021
grass
#63WTA
1795ELO
1666Grass ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Ostapenko J.
1-6 7-5 6-2
Kasatkina D.
Ostapenko J.
1762
Kasatkina D.
6521

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Daria Kasatkina 1-6 7-5 6-2 in the Eastbourne quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #29, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-08AdelaideFhardJelena Ostapenko6-3 6-2
2023-05-08RomeR16clayJelena Ostapenko6-4 4-6 6-0
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassJelena Ostapenko6-1 3-6 8-6
2017-08-28US OpenR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-2
2017-04-03CharlestonFclayDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-1
2016-06-20EastbourneR64grassJelena Ostapenko4-6 6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
41%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Even
79
80
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+104 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Grass Elo 1666
5.2Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
5.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.8
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
92

Ostapenko J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°CRain
Wind 33 km/hHumidity 87%