Tomas Machac vs Flavio CobolliAndria CH Round of 32

Andria CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#53ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 November 2022
hard
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Machac T.
7-6 6-2
Cobolli F.
Machac T.
7762
Cobolli F.
6320

Tomas Machac defeated Flavio Cobolli 7-6 6-2 in the Andria CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Tomas Machac narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Machac closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR64hardFlavio Cobolli6-1 6-4
2025-10-20ViennaR32hardFlavio Cobolli7-6(6) 6-2
2024-12-27United CupQFhardTomas Machac6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Cobolli F.
30
Serve
20
25
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.0
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
90
76
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Dominant
80
35
Deciding sets·Even
94
98
Tiebreaks·Even
97
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+20 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1810
4.5Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1896
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
4.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
1.0
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
71

Cobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast