

Alex De Minaur defeated Tommy Paul 6-2 4-6 6-4 in the Eastbourne quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending the title. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 5–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Hamburg | SF | clay | Tommy Paul | 6-2 3-6 3-6 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | R16 | clay | Tommy Paul | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-07-31 | Los Cabos | QF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-02-27 | Acapulco | F | hard | Alex De Minaur | 3-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | R32 | clay | Alex De Minaur | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | R32 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(2) 6-4 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About