Alex De Minaur vs Tommy PaulEastbourne Quarter-final

Eastbourne · ATP · Quarter-final
#6ATP
1961ELO
1834Grass ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 June 2022
grass
#25ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
De Minaur A.
6-2 4-6 6-4
Paul T.
De Minaur A.
6462
Paul T.
2641

Alex De Minaur defeated Tommy Paul 6-2 4-6 6-4 in the Eastbourne quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending the title. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-22HamburgSFclayTommy Paul6-2 3-6 3-6
2025-05-07Rome MastersR16clayTommy Paul7-5 6-3
2023-07-31Los CabosQFhardAlex De Minaur6-4 3-6 6-3
2023-02-27AcapulcoFhardAlex De Minaur3-6 6-4 6-1
2022-05-09Rome MastersR32clayAlex De Minaur7-5 6-4
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur7-6(2) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
93
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
97
87
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+33 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1801
5.7Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
5.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
5.6
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
84

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast