Alex De Minaur vs Tommy Paul — Indian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Alex De Minaur
AUS29
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
Tommy Paul
USA
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
De Minaur A.
7-6 6-4
Paul T.
De Minaur A.
7762
Paul T.
6240

Alex De Minaur defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 16. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

4–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-22HamburgSFclayTommy Paul6-2 3-6 3-6
2025-05-07Rome MastersR16clayTommy Paul7-5 6-3
2023-07-31Los CabosQFhardAlex De Minaur6-4 3-6 6-3
2023-02-27AcapulcoFhardAlex De Minaur3-6 6-4 6-1
2022-06-20EastbourneQFgrassAlex De Minaur6-2 4-6 6-4
2022-05-09Rome MastersR32clayAlex De Minaur7-5 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Paul T.
48
Serve
71
80
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Paul T.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Even
95
93
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
97
87
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Paul T.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+54 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1881
5.7Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
5.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.4
Country comfort
7.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Paul T.
Freshness·Slight edge
73
84

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%
Final
Fritz T.[20]
Nadal R.[4]
6-37-65
Semi-finals
Nadal R.[4]
Alcaraz C.[19]
6-44-66-3
Fritz T.[20]
Rublev A.[7]
7-56-4
Quarter-finals
Fritz T.[20]
Kecmanovic M.
7-653-66-1
Alcaraz C.[19]
Norrie C.[12]
6-46-3
Nadal R.[4]
Kyrgios N.
7-605-76-4
Rublev A.[7]
Dimitrov G.[33]
7-56-2
R16
Nadal R.[4]
Opelka R.[17]
7-637-65
Kyrgios N.
Sinner J.[10]
W/O
Kecmanovic M.
Berrettini M.[6]
6-36-756-4
Alcaraz C.[19]
Monfils G.[26]
7-56-1
Norrie C.[12]
Brooksby J.
6-26-4
Fritz T.[20]
De Minaur A.[29]
3-66-47-65
Rublev A.[7]
Hurkacz H.[11]
7-656-4
Dimitrov G.[33]
Isner J.[23]
6-37-66
R32
Monfils G.[26]
Medvedev D.[1]
4-66-36-1
Alcaraz C.[19]
Bautista Agut R.[15]
6-26-0
Norrie C.[12]
Basilashvili N.[18]
3-66-36-1
Brooksby J.
Tsitsipas S.[5]
1-66-36-2
Nadal R.[4]
Evans D.[27]
7-56-3
Opelka R.[17]
Shapovalov D.[13]
6-746-46-4
Sinner J.[10]
Bonzi B.
7-653-66-4
Kyrgios N.
Ruud C.[8]
6-46-4
Berrettini M.[6]
Harris L.[30]
6-47-5
Kecmanovic M.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-637-5
Fritz T.[20]
Munar J.
6-42-67-62
De Minaur A.[29]
Paul T.
7-626-4
Rublev A.[7]
Tiafoe F.[28]
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.[11]
Johnson S.
7-676-3
Isner J.[23]
Schwartzman D.[14]
7-56-3
Dimitrov G.[33]
Bublik A.[31]
6-36-4
R64
Kyrgios N.
Delbonis F.[32]
6-26-2
Ruud C.[8]
Eubanks C.
7-656-2
Harris L.[30]
Bagnis F.
6-34-66-3
Kecmanovic M.
Cilic M.[24]
6-776-37-66
Van De Zandschulp B.
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
7-646-746-3
Munar J.
Carreno Busta P.[16]
4-66-47-64
Fritz T.[20]
Majchrzak K.
6-16-1
De Minaur A.[29]
Millman J.
7-646-3
Paul T.
Zverev A.[3]
6-24-67-62
Tiafoe F.[28]
Nakashima B.
6-46-4
Johnson S.
Karatsev A.[22]
7-656-4
Hurkacz H.[11]
Otte O.
6-33-66-3
Schwartzman D.[14]
Ruusuvuori E.
5-76-36-3
Bublik A.[31]
Murray A.
7-696-3
Dimitrov G.[33]
Thompson J.
7-636-2
Basilashvili N.[18]
Fognini F.
W/O
Isner J.[23]
Querrey S.
7-667-62
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Sock J.
7-653-67-65
Berrettini M.[6]
Rune H.
6-34-66-4
Rublev A.[7]
Koepfer D.
7-56-4
Medvedev D.[1]
Machac T.
6-36-2
Monfils G.[26]
Krajinovic F.
6-36-4
Alcaraz C.[19]
Mcdonald M.
6-36-3
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Wolf J.
6-36-737-65
Norrie C.[12]
Martinez P.
6-36-3
Brooksby J.
Khachanov K.[25]
6-06-3
Nadal R.[4]
Korda S.
6-21-67-63
Evans D.[27]
Coria F.
6-26-0
Opelka R.[17]
Musetti L.
6-16-4
Shapovalov D.[13]
Davidovich Fokina A.
4-66-46-2
Sinner J.[10]
Djere L.
6-36-3
Bonzi B.
Sonego L.[21]
6-36-4
R128
Ruusuvuori E.
Kohlschreiber P.
6-36-3
Machac T.
Popyrin A.
6-37-5
Mcdonald M.
Fucsovics M.
7-6117-5
Wolf J.
Gaston H.
7-56-4
Martinez P.
Sousa J.
6-47-5
Van De Zandschulp B.
Sandgren T.
6-46-2
Coria F.
Cuevas P.
6-47-65
Musetti L.
Giron M.
6-37-5
Krajinovic F.
Lajovic D.
7-54-66-1
Nakashima B.
Mannarino A.
6-27-64
Sock J.
Cerundolo J.
6-16-1
Johnson S.
Altmaier D.
6-37-63
Fognini F.
Andujar P.
3-66-36-3
Brooksby J.
Carballes Baena R.
6-16-4
Korda S.
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Coric B.
6-756-07-5
Djere L.
Kwon S.
2-66-36-4
Bonzi B.
Rinderknech A.
6-37-5
Kyrgios N.
Baez S.
6-46-0
Eubanks C.
Cressy M.
5-77-686-4
Rune H.
Humbert U.
6-36-2
Bagnis F.
Laaksonen H.
6-37-64
Kecmanovic M.
Broady L.
6-44-66-4
Munar J.
Shang J.
6-36-4
Majchrzak K.
Bedene A.
6-17-5
Millman J.
Struff J.
7-666-4
Paul T.
Kukushkin M.
6-46-4
Koepfer D.
Paire B.
2-67-56-4
Otte O.
Gasquet R.
6-21-66-3
Querrey S.
Griekspoor T.
6-736-26-4
Murray A.
Daniel T.
1-66-26-4
Thompson J.
Goffin D.
4-67-57-63