Brandon Nakashima vs Alex De MinaurAntwerp Round of 32

Antwerp · ATP · Round of 32
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 October 2021
hard
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Nakashima B.
6-4 6-0
De Minaur A.
Nakashima B.
662
De Minaur A.
400

Brandon Nakashima defeated Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-0 in the Antwerp round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, defending last year's final. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-19LondonQFgrassBrandon Nakashima5-7 3-6
2025-07-21WashingtonQFhardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.De Minaur A.
61
Serve
48
23
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
95
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
13
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1788
Surface ELO
7.2+148 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1961
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
80

Nakashima B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
12°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 74%