Tommy Paul vs Alexander BublikPlayford CH Round of 32

Playford CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 December 2018
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Paul T.
1-6 6-4 7-5
Bublik A.
Paul T.
1672
Bublik A.
6451

Tommy Paul defeated Alexander Bublik 1-6 6-4 7-5 in the Playford CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in leading the head-to-head 4–2. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR32hardAlexander Bublik7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-3 6-7(5) 6-1
2025-03-19Miami MastersR64hardTommy Paul5-7 7-5 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassTommy Paul6-3 6-4 6-2
2021-03-01RotterdamR16hardTommy Paul6-7(5) 6-3 6-1
2020-09-21HamburgQ2clayTommy Paul6-4 6-4
2019-06-17Queen's ClubQ2grassAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Bublik A.
71
Serve
65
54
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
46%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
87
67
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
91
78

Paul T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast