Tommy Paul vs Alexander Bublik — Miami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Tommy Paul
USA12
Tommy Paul
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Paul T.
5-7 7-5 6-4
Bublik A.
Paul T.
5762
Bublik A.
7541

Tommy Paul defeated Alexander Bublik 5-7 7-5 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 64. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR32hardAlexander Bublik7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-3 6-7(5) 6-1
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassTommy Paul6-3 6-4 6-2
2021-03-01RotterdamR16hardTommy Paul6-7(5) 6-3 6-1
2020-09-21HamburgQ2clayTommy Paul6-4 6-4
2019-06-17Queen's ClubQ2grassAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(4)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Bublik A.
71
Serve
65
54
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
10.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
87
67
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Bublik A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+45 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1837
5.0Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
3.9
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.4
Country comfort
4.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Bublik A.
Freshness·Clear edge
88
74

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Mensik J.
Djokovic N.[4]
7-647-64
Semi-finals
Mensik J.
Fritz T.[3]
7-644-67-64
Djokovic N.[4]
Dimitrov G.[14]
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Djokovic N.[4]
Korda S.[24]
6-37-64
Dimitrov G.[14]
Cerundolo F.[23]
6-766-47-63
Mensik J.
Fils A.[17]
7-656-1
Fritz T.[3]
Berrettini M.[29]
7-56-777-5
R16
Mensik J.
Machac T.[20]
W/O
Fils A.[17]
Zverev A.[1]
3-66-36-4
Berrettini M.[29]
De Minaur A.[10]
6-37-67
Dimitrov G.[14]
Nakashima B.[31]
6-47-5
Cerundolo F.[23]
Ruud C.[5]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[4]
Musetti L.[15]
6-26-2
Korda S.[24]
Monfils G.
6-42-66-4
Fritz T.[3]
Walton A.
6-37-5
R32
Zverev A.[1]
Thompson J.
7-56-4
Machac T.[20]
Opelka R.
7-616-3
Berrettini M.[29]
Bergs Z.
6-46-4
Fritz T.[3]
Shapovalov D.[27]
7-56-3
Monfils G.
Munar J.
7-55-77-61
De Minaur A.[10]
Fonseca J.
5-77-56-3
Korda S.[24]
Tsitsipas S.[9]
7-646-3
Djokovic N.[4]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-17-61
Fils A.[17]
Tiafoe F.[16]
7-6115-76-2
Walton A.
Wong C.
7-664-66-4
Musetti L.[15]
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
4-66-26-3
Nakashima B.[31]
Goffin D.
6-36-756-3
Dimitrov G.[14]
Khachanov K.[22]
6-736-47-5
Cerundolo F.[23]
Paul T.[12]
6-27-64
Ruud C.[5]
Tabilo A.[30]
6-47-64
Mensik J.
Safiullin R.
6-46-4
R64
Thompson J.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[28]
7-647-61
Musetti L.[15]
Halys Q.
3-67-647-5
Fils A.[17]
Diallo G.
6-42-3
Wong C.
Shelton B.[13]
7-632-67-65
Mensik J.
Draper J.[6]
7-627-63
Walton A.
Darderi L.
6-46-4
Monfils G.
Lehecka J.[26]
6-13-67-68
Korda S.[24]
Spizzirri E.
6-46-2
Zverev A.[1]
Fearnley J.
6-26-4
Dimitrov G.[14]
Cina F.
6-16-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-57-65
Ugo Carabelli C.
Michelsen A.[32]
6-737-56-3
Shapovalov D.[27]
Tirante T.
6-36-717-63
Fritz T.[3]
Sonego L.
7-626-3
Opelka R.
Rune H.[11]
4-66-37-65
Machac T.[20]
Arnaldi M.
6-21-66-3
Berrettini M.[29]
Gaston H.
4-66-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
Schoolkate T.
6-46-4
Fonseca J.
Humbert U.[19]
6-46-3
Munar J.
Medvedev D.[7]
6-26-3
Djokovic N.[4]
Hijikata R.
6-07-61
Bergs Z.
Rublev A.[8]
7-56-4
Tabilo A.[30]
Moutet C.
5-76-37-5
Safiullin R.
Popyrin A.[25]
6-746-37-5
Ruud C.[5]
Kecmanovic M.
3-66-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[9]
Tseng C.
4-67-56-3
Cerundolo F.[23]
Muller A.
6-16-2
Paul T.[12]
Bublik A.
5-77-56-4
Khachanov K.[22]
Kyrgios N.
7-636-0
Goffin D.
Alcaraz C.[2]
5-76-46-3
Nakashima B.[31]
Carballes Baena R.
6-44-66-3
De Minaur A.[10]
Yunchaokete B.
6-46-4
R128
Moutet C.
Blockx A.
7-656-4
Goffin D.
Vukic A.
2-66-46-2
Bergs Z.
Borges N.
7-627-5
Gaston H.
Nishioka Y.
6-43-1
Cina F.
Comesana F.
7-647-62
Thompson J.
Giron M.
3-66-47-5
Hijikata R.
Medjedovic H.
7-53-67-5
Fearnley J.
Bonzi B.
7-662-66-4
Mensik J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-43-66-1
Fonseca J.
Tien L.
6-716-36-4
Yunchaokete B.
Norrie C.
6-46-2
Arnaldi M.
Wu Y.
7-634-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Struff J.
7-636-3
Ugo Carabelli C.
Holt B.
2-67-656-4
Schoolkate T.
Quinn E.
6-06-2
Tseng C.
Bellucci M.
7-656-2
Halys Q.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-4
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-46-4
Safiullin R.
Brooksby J.
6-33-66-3
Munar J.
Rinderknech A.
6-37-65
Sonego L.
Navone M.
7-57-5
Darderi L.
Martinez P.
6-46-1
Muller A.
Sakamoto R.
6-46-4
Wong C.
Altmaier D.
6-46-3
Spizzirri E.
Harris B.
7-623-66-2
Tirante T.
Cobolli F.
6-13-66-3
Monfils G.
Marozsan F.
6-33-66-4
Bublik A.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Kyrgios N.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-36-4
Carballes Baena R.
Oconnell C.
6-33-67-65
Diallo G.
Etcheverry T.
6-36-0
Opelka R.
Eubanks C.
6-37-64