Tommy Paul vs Alexander Bublik — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32
Tommy Paul
USA21
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 July 2024
grass
Alexander Bublik
KAZ10
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Paul T.
6-3 6-4 6-2
Bublik A.
Paul T.
6663
Bublik A.
3420

Tommy Paul defeated Alexander Bublik 6-3 6-4 6-2 in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 16, but Tommy Paul had arrived on a 6-match winning run. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–4 6–2.

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR32hardAlexander Bublik7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-3 6-7(5) 6-1
2025-03-19Miami MastersR64hardTommy Paul5-7 7-5 6-4
2021-03-01RotterdamR16hardTommy Paul6-7(5) 6-3 6-1
2020-09-21HamburgQ2clayTommy Paul6-4 6-4
2019-06-17Queen's ClubQ2grassAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(4)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 140). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
87
67
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Bublik A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1801
Surface ELO
5.9+1 Grass Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
5.6
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.2
Country comfort
5.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Bublik A.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
70

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%
Final
Alcaraz C.[3]
Djokovic N.[7]
6-26-27-64
Semi-finals
Djokovic N.[7]
Musetti L.[25]
6-47-626-4
Alcaraz C.[3]
Medvedev D.[8]
6-716-36-46-4
Quarter-finals
Djokovic N.[7]
De Minaur A.[5]
W/O
Musetti L.[25]
Fritz T.[6]
3-67-656-23-66-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Paul T.[21]
5-76-46-26-2
Medvedev D.[8]
Sinner J.[1]
6-776-47-642-66-3
R16
Fritz T.[6]
Zverev A.[2]
4-66-746-47-636-3
De Minaur A.[5]
Fils A.[20]
6-26-44-66-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Rune H.[15]
6-36-46-2
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[4]
6-26-47-69
Alcaraz C.[3]
Humbert U.[27]
6-36-41-67-5
Paul T.[21]
Bautista Agut R.
6-27-636-2
Medvedev D.[8]
Dimitrov G.
5-3
Musetti L.[25]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
4-66-36-36-2
R32
Bautista Agut R.
Fognini F.
7-663-65-77-616-4
Djokovic N.[7]
Popyrin A.
4-66-36-47-63
Fils A.[20]
Safiullin R.
4-66-31-66-46-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Tiafoe F.[17]
5-76-24-67-626-2
Shelton B.[4]
Shapovalov D.
6-746-26-44-66-2
Humbert U.[27]
Nakashima B.[28]
7-696-36-757-66
Medvedev D.[8]
Struff J.
6-16-34-67-63
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Ruusuvuori E.
4-66-27-656-4
Paul T.[21]
Bublik A.[10]
6-36-46-2
Dimitrov G.
Monfils G.
6-36-46-3
Musetti L.[25]
Comesana F.[1]
6-26-747-636-3
Fritz T.[6]
Tabilo A.[30]
7-636-37-5
De Minaur A.[5]
Pouille L.
W/O
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
6-16-46-2
Zverev A.[2]
Norrie C.[26]
6-46-47-615
Rune H.[15]
Halys Q.
1-66-746-47-646-1
R64
Comesana F.[1]
Walton A.
7-51-66-7126-17-68
Struff J.
Zhang Z.[32]
5-76-37-617-68
Bublik A.[10]
Cazaux A.
6-47-616-4
Halys Q.
Khachanov K.[19]
4-66-33-66-36-4
Shelton B.[4]
Harris L.
4-67-656-756-37-67
Dimitrov G.
Shang J.
5-76-746-46-26-4
Monfils G.
Wawrinka S.
7-656-47-63
Tiafoe F.[17]
Coric B.
7-656-16-3
Paul T.[21]
Virtanen O.
4-66-35-77-56-4
Fognini F.
Ruud C.[11]
6-47-56-716-3
Musetti L.[25]
Darderi L.[14]
6-44-66-756-46-4
Popyrin A.
Etcheverry T.[29]
3-66-44-66-46-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Fearnley J.
6-36-45-77-5
Norrie C.[26]
Draper J.[28]
7-636-47-66
Medvedev D.[8]
Muller A.
6-737-646-47-5
Zverev A.[2]
Giron M.
6-26-16-4
Fritz T.[6]
Rinderknech A.[25]
6-36-43-66-4
Fils A.[20]
Hurkacz H.[7]
7-626-42-66-6
Safiullin R.
Machac T.
6-26-45-76-3
Tabilo A.[30]
Cobolli F.[9]
7-647-644-64-66-4
Nakashima B.[28]
Thompson J.
6-36-26-2
Pouille L.
Kokkinakis T.
2-67-55-2
Humbert U.[27]
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-696-16-3
Sinner J.[1]
Berrettini M.
7-637-642-67-64
Kecmanovic M.
Griekspoor T.[27]
4-67-671-66-26-3
Shapovalov D.
Altmaier D.
7-636-31-66-736-4
Alcaraz C.[3]
Vukic A.
7-656-26-2
Bautista Agut R.
Sonego L.
6-33-66-36-4
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Nishioka Y.
6-46-16-2
Rune H.[15]
Seyboth Wild T.
3-66-36-26-2
Ruusuvuori E.
Tsitsipas S.[11]
7-667-6103-66-3
De Minaur A.[5]
Munar J.
6-26-27-5
R128
Giron M.
Searle H.
3-66-36-46-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Jubb P.
1-63-67-666-47-5
Musetti L.[25]
Lestienne C.
4-67-646-26-2
Dimitrov G.
Lajovic D.
6-36-47-5
Muller A.
Gaston H.
6-47-627-65
Paul T.[21]
Martinez P.[19]
6-26-14-66-3
Norrie C.[26]
Diaz Acosta F.[12]
7-57-56-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Mcdonald M.
7-664-65-77-666-3
Safiullin R.
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-753-67-56-36-4
Munar J.
Harris B.
6-46-43-66-3
Nakashima B.[28]
Baez S.[18]
6-26-36-4
Virtanen O.
Purcell M.
6-36-26-2
Bublik A.[10]
Mensik J.[15]
4-66-726-46-46-2
Darderi L.[14]
Choinski J.
7-54-62-67-56-2
Fritz T.[6]
Oconnell C.
6-16-26-4
Cobolli F.[9]
Hijikata R.
7-54-66-46-4
Zverev A.[2]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-46-2
Kokkinakis T.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
4-65-77-696-46-4
Fearnley J.
Moro Canas A.
7-56-47-612
Altmaier D.
Fery A.
4-67-661-66-36-1
Ruud C.[11]
Bolt A.
7-626-46-4
Medvedev D.[8]
Kovacevic A.
6-36-46-2
Shelton B.[4]
Bellucci M.
4-66-33-66-36-4
Humbert U.[27]
Shevchenko A.
6-14-67-626-736-1
Djokovic N.[7]
Kopriva V.
6-16-26-2
Khachanov K.[19]
Karatsev A.
6-36-747-6112-0
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Korda S.[20]
7-656-747-666-746-3
Rune H.[15]
Kwon S.
6-16-46-4
Tabilo A.[30]
Evans D.
6-27-56-3
Comesana F.[1]
Rublev A.[12]
6-45-76-27-65
Shang J.
Garin C.
7-56-46-4
De Minaur A.[5]
Duckworth J.
7-617-637-64
Sinner J.[1]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-43-66-3
Berrettini M.
Fucsovics M.
7-636-23-66-1
Kecmanovic M.
Nagal S.
6-23-66-36-4
Shapovalov D.
Jarry N.[19]
6-17-56-4
Harris L.
Michelsen A.
3-64-67-656-27-69
Wawrinka S.
Broom C.
6-37-56-4
Zhang Z.[32]
Janvier M.
7-646-36-2
Struff J.
Marozsan F.
6-46-746-26-3
Coric B.
Meligeni Alves F.
6-37-626-3
Tiafoe F.[17]
Arnaldi M.[32]
6-752-66-16-36-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Broady L.
6-24-66-36-2
Cazaux A.
Bergs Z.
6-16-46-726-747-68
Sonego L.
Navone M.[31]
6-47-626-4
Fognini F.
Van Assche L.
6-16-37-5
Walton A.
Coria F.
6-36-37-5
Nishioka Y.
Borges N.
6-27-662-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[11]
Daniel T.
7-656-47-5
Rinderknech A.[25]
Nishikori K.
5-76-46-726-36-2
Machac T.
Goffin D.
3-63-66-46-17-65
Thompson J.
Kotov P.
5-75-76-46-46-4
Draper J.[28]
Ymer E.
3-66-36-34-66-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Lajal M.
7-637-56-2
Monfils G.
Mannarino A.[22]
6-43-67-56-4
Pouille L.
Djere L.
3-67-643-66-36-1
Halys Q.
Eubanks C.
6-46-46-2
Etcheverry T.[29]
Nardi L.
6-16-46-2
Popyrin A.
Monteiro T.
6-46-786-36-4
Griekspoor T.[27]
Galan D.
7-636-36-4
Bautista Agut R.
Marterer M.
6-36-16-4
Vukic A.
Ofner S.
6-796-46-43-67-68
Hurkacz H.[7]
Albot R.
5-76-46-36-4
Fils A.[20]
Stricker D.
6-36-23-66-4