
Paula Badosa defeated Elena Rybakina 7-6 2-6 7-5 in the Moscow qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Paula Badosa narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2025-02-17 | Dubai | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 4-6 7-6(8) 7-6(2) |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami | R32 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 3-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells | R32 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-11-09 | BJK Cup Finals RR: ESP vs KAZ | RR | hard | Paula Badosa | 6-2 3-6 6-4 |
| 2022-04-18 | Stuttgart | R16 | clay | Paula Badosa | 6-2 4-6 7-6(4) |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Paula Badosa | 6-2 7-6(5) |
| 2019-07-15 | Bucharest | R32 | clay | Elena Rybakina | 7-5 7-6(4) |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Badosa P.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About