Yoshihito Nishioka vs Frances TiafoeWinnetka CH Final

Winnetka CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#177ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 July 2016
hard
#17ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Nishioka Y.
6-3 6-2
Tiafoe F.
Nishioka Y.
662
Tiafoe F.
320

Yoshihito Nishioka defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-2 in the Winnetka CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 32. Yoshihito Nishioka narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 7-6(6) 6-3
2025-02-03DallasR16hardYoshihito Nishioka3-6 6-4 6-3
2024-07-22AtlantaQFhardYoshihito Nishioka7-6(2) 6-2
2023-02-27AcapulcoR32hardFrances Tiafoe7-6(6) 6-4
2021-08-09Canada MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-3
2019-04-29EstorilR16clayFrances Tiafoe2-6 6-3 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Nishioka Y.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishioka Y.Tiafoe F.
Serve
38
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
8.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
84
83
Break points saved·Even
95
99
Break points won·Even
59
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
92
Tiebreaks·Even
97
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Tiafoe F.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast