Yoshihito Nishioka vs Frances TiafoeAtlanta Quarter-final

Atlanta · ATP · Quarter-final
#176ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 July 2024
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Nishioka Y.
7-6 6-2
Tiafoe F.
Nishioka Y.
7762
Tiafoe F.
6220

Yoshihito Nishioka defeated Frances Tiafoe 7-6 6-2 in the Atlanta quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Yoshihito Nishioka narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 7-6(6) 6-3
2025-02-03DallasR16hardYoshihito Nishioka3-6 6-4 6-3
2023-02-27AcapulcoR32hardFrances Tiafoe7-6(6) 6-4
2021-08-09Canada MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-3
2019-04-29EstorilR16clayFrances Tiafoe2-6 6-3 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Nishioka Y.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishioka Y.Tiafoe F.
Serve
38
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
7.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (98 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
84
83
Break points saved·Even
95
99
Break points won·Even
59
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
92
Tiebreaks·Even
97
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
7.3+202 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1689
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1918
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.6
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast