Frances Tiafoe vs Yoshihito NishiokaAcapulco Round of 32

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 32
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#176ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
Tiafoe F.
7-6 6-4
Nishioka Y.
Tiafoe F.
7862
Nishioka Y.
6640

Frances Tiafoe defeated Yoshihito Nishioka 7-6 6-4 in the Acapulco round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 7-6(6) 6-3
2025-02-03DallasR16hardYoshihito Nishioka3-6 6-4 6-3
2024-07-22AtlantaQFhardYoshihito Nishioka7-6(2) 6-2
2021-08-09Canada MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-3
2019-04-29EstorilR16clayFrances Tiafoe2-6 6-3 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Nishioka Y.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Nishioka Y.
38
Serve
37
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 142). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
83
84
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Even
57
59
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
98
Tiebreaks·Even
98
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+202 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1659
7.5Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1689
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.4
Surface form
7.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 57%