UMPIRY
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Alexander Ritschard vs Leevi Saatela — Helsinki Qualifying Round of 32

HelsinkiQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · ~15:30CENTER COURT · After 3 matches
Alexander RitschardATP #280 · SUI91%
VSStrong favourite · Ritschard A.
Leevi SaatelaFIN9%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Ritschard A.
91%9%

Clear edge for Ritschard A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 11 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ritschard A.6.4/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Saatela L.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 793
Hard ELO1 599
Last 109–1
Age32
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 445
Hard ELO1 483
Last 104–6
Age31
Height175 cm
PlaysRight

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ritschard A.Saatela L.
FormLast 10 matches each
Win–loss9–1 (ahead)4–6
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1793 (ahead)1445
Hard-court ELO1599 (ahead)1483

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 3 matches · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · ~15:30 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast8°C · Drizzle
Wind45 km/h
Humidity85%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alexander Ritschard vs Leevi Saatela — Helsinki Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/ritschard-vs-saatela-helsinki-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).