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Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Quarter-final

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong KongQuarter-finalHardFri 6 Nov · 16:30Centre Court · After 1 match
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
57%43%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Cirstea S.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Shubladze A.4.3/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+417 Hard Elo edgeSupports Cirstea S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1956Supports Cirstea S.
Recent run4-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Shubladze A.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Cirstea S.
Opponent formOpponent hot: 9 of last 10Against the prediction · Shubladze A.
ELO2 026
Hard ELO1 883
Last 106–4
Age36
EarningsCareer $13.2M2026 $2.4M
ELO1 779
Hard ELO1 700
Last 109–1
Age21
EarningsCareer $131K2026 $69K

Sorana Cirstea faces Alexandra Shubladze in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong quarter-final on hard. Sorana Cirstea is the paper favourite — ranked #15, a roughly 420-point hard Elo advantage — but Alexandra Shubladze arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on hard to Sorana Cirstea's 6 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Cirstea S.Shubladze A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–49–1 (ahead)
Season win rate70% (42–18)77% (54–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2026 (ahead)1779
Hard-court ELO1883 (ahead)1700
Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 70 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)62%
Return points won46%52% (ahead)
Aces / match4.1 (ahead)0.5
ClutchLast 58 vs 70 matches
Break points saved55%55%

When it starts

Centre Court · After 1 match · Not before 4:30 PM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Centre Court · 16:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast26°C · Clear
Wind15 km/h
Humidity76%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Cirstea S.Shubladze A.
2Days since last match2
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
32 — fresherGames · 7 days64
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
54 — fresherGames · 14 days91
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-06/cirstea-vs-shubladze-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 6 November 2026).