Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32
Why
Surface+100 Hard Elo edgeSupports Fils A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2001Supports Fils A.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Machac T.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 151
Hard ELO1 964
Last 106–4
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.5M2026 $3.4M
ELO1 984
Hard ELO1 847
Last 107–3
Age26
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $6.8M2026 $862K
Arthur Fils faces Tomas Machac in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 32 on hard. Arthur Fils is the paper favourite — ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage — but Tomas Machac rides a 3-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Arthur Fils 126 games in 14 days, Tomas Machac 148.
- Form trend: Tomas Machac's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Arthur Fils's has cooled.
- Head-to-head: Arthur Fils leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Halle 2024.
Common opponents
7 shared · last 12 monthsFils A. and Machac T. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Fils A. went 5–3 (63%) against them, Machac T. 3–4 (43%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 1 better-results split).
5–363%Fils A. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents3–443%Machac T. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
11–7Sets10–12
91–79Games103–118
3–1Tiebreaks5–2
0–0Deciding sets2–3
vs Zverev A.#1L2-6 3-6Indian Wells Masters · hardL4-6 2-6 2-6Roland Garros · clay
vs Sinner J.#2L2-6 4-6Madrid Masters · clayL1-6 7-6 3-6Monte Carlo Masters · clay
vs De Minaur A.#9W6-3 6-4Cincinnati · hardL6-1 4-6 3-6Vienna · hard
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vs Tsitsipas S.#34W6-0 6-1Miami Masters · hardW6-4 3-6 7-6 7-6Australian Open · hard
vs Norrie C.#45W6-2 7-6Montreal · hardL2-6 7-6 6-7Madrid Masters · clay- vs Hanfmann Y.#58W7-6(5) 6-1Cincinnati · hardW7-6(7) 6-7(6) 6-4Beijing · hard
vs Nava E.#122W7-6 6-3Madrid Masters · clayW2-6 6-4 6-1Miami Masters · hard
Evidence
Fils A.Machac T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate73% (41–15) (ahead)56% (24–19)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2151 (ahead)1984
Hard-court ELO1964 (ahead)1847
Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 41 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)69%
Return points won37%37%
Aces / match5.7 (ahead)5.3
ClutchLast 55 vs 41 matches
Break points saved66% (ahead)60%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-04/fils-vs-machac-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 4 November 2026).