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Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkova — Chennai Open - Chennai Round of 32

Chennai Open - ChennaiR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
43%57%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Uchijima M.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Sramkova R.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+4 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Uchijima M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1680Against the prediction · Uchijima M.
Recent run5-match win streakSupports Sramkova R.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Uchijima M.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysInformative
ELO1 728
Hard ELO1 655
Last 103–7
Age25
Height171 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $524K
ELO1 775
Hard ELO1 674
Last 107–3
Age30
Height179 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $449K

Moyuka Uchijima faces Rebecca Sramkova in the Chennai Open - Chennai round of 32 on hard. Moyuka Uchijima is the paper favourite — ranked #121, leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Rebecca Sramkova arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Moyuka Uchijima's 3 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Uchijima M. and Sramkova R. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Uchijima M. went 2–1 (67%) against them, Sramkova R. 1–2 (33%). Only 2 of the comparisons are context-comparable — too few for a conclusion.

2–167%Uchijima M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–233%Sramkova R. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
4–3Sets2–5
32–32Games31–38
1–0Deciding sets1–0

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Uchijima M. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Uchijima M.Sramkova R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–77–3 (ahead)
Season win rate49% (25–26)53% (26–23) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17281775 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16551674 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 50 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won64% (ahead)63%
Return points won45% (ahead)43%
Aces / match2.34.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 50 vs 49 matches
Break points saved50%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast26°C · Drizzle
Wind14 km/h
Humidity91%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Uchijima M.Sramkova R.
6Days since last match21 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
18Games · 7 days0 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
75Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkova — Chennai Open - Chennai Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/sramkova-vs-uchijima-chennai-open-chennai-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).