Rebecca Sramkova vs Maja ChwalinskaSingapore Round of 32

Singapore · WTA · Round of 32
#146WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
$449kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 21 September 2026 ·
hard
Center Court · 3rd on
#25WTA
1833ELO
1736Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$2.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWWW
Sramkova R.
4-6 2-6
Chwalinska M.
Sramkova R.
420
Chwalinska M.
662

Maja Chwalinska defeated Rebecca Sramkova 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the Singapore hard-court tournament. Chwalinska converted 67% of her break points, securing two service breaks to Sramkova's one, en route to the win. Chwalinska and Sramkova were even in aces and double faults, with Chwalinska recording zero aces and Sramkova one, and both players committing one double fault.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • I'm very happy with the win today. Every win counts, and every first match is tough. Very happy to get through it.

    Chwalinska M.WTA Tennis
  • Chwalinska overcame an ankle injury suffered at Wimbledon that hampered her through the US Open, now building momentum on her first Asian Swing.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Chwalinska M.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Momentum · Final
Sramkova R.5/9
Chwalinska M.8/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.4
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
51
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
27
50
Break points won·Clear edge
75
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
80
Tiebreaks·
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Sramkova R.33%
Chwalinska M.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Chwalinska M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1629
Surface ELO
6.3+106 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1833
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
88

Sramkova R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Chwalinska M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
32°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw