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Anastasia Zakharova vs Polina Iatcenko — Chennai Open - Chennai Round of 32

Chennai Open - ChennaiR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zakharova A.6.0/10
Even match
Iatcenko P.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+147 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Zakharova A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1742Against the prediction · Zakharova A.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on hardInformative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Zakharova A.
ELO1 773
Hard ELO1 680
Last 103–7
Age24
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $790K
ELO1 763
Hard ELO1 689
Last 105–5
Age22
EarningsCareer $300K2026 $183K

Anastasia Zakharova faces Polina Iatcenko in the Chennai Open - Chennai round of 32 on hard. Anastasia Zakharova is the paper favourite — ranked #105, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage — but Polina Iatcenko has won their only previous meeting. Polina Iatcenko brings the better recent hard form (5 of 10).

Key context

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Zakharova A. and Iatcenko P. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Zakharova A. went 0–2 (0%) against them, Iatcenko P. 1–1 (50%).

0–20%Zakharova A. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–150%Iatcenko P. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
0–4Sets2–3
12–25Games24–29
0–0Tiebreaks1–1
0–0Deciding sets1–0

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Iatcenko P. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Zakharova A.Iatcenko P.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–75–5 (ahead)
Season win rate51% (35–34)51% (25–24) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1773 (ahead)1763
Hard-court ELO16801689 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 64 vs 47 matches
1st-serve points won60%66% (ahead)
Return points won43%44% (ahead)
Aces / match1.02.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 64 vs 47 matches
Break points saved52%52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast26°C · Drizzle
Wind14 km/h
Humidity91%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Zakharova A.Iatcenko P.
5Days since last match7 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
40Games · 7 days18 — fresher
5Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
94Games · 14 days45 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Anastasia Zakharova vs Polina Iatcenko — Chennai Open - Chennai Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/iatcenko-vs-zakharova-chennai-open-chennai-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).