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Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong KongR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ruzic A.6.1/10
Even match
Charaeva A.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+112 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Ruzic A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1739Against the prediction · Ruzic A.
Recent run4-match win streakSupports Charaeva A.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Charaeva A.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
ELO1 814
Hard ELO1 707
Last 105–5
Age23
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $993K
ELO1 830
Hard ELO1 701
Last 107–3
Age24
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $656K2026 $400K

Antonia Ruzic faces Alina Charaeva in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. Antonia Ruzic is the paper favourite — ranked #84, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage — but Alina Charaeva arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Antonia Ruzic's 5 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Ruzic A. and Charaeva A. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Ruzic A. went 3–4 (43%) against them, Charaeva A. 3–5 (38%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 2 better-results split).

3–443%Ruzic A. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents3–538%Charaeva A. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
7–9Sets9–13
69–71Games93–110
0–0Tiebreaks1–1
0–1Deciding sets3–3
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Head-to-head

1 meeting · Ruzic A. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Ruzic A.Charaeva A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate45% (24–29)62% (42–26) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18141830 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1707 (ahead)1701
Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 66 matches
1st-serve points won58%66% (ahead)
Return points won43%44% (ahead)
Aces / match1.43.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 52 vs 66 matches
Break points saved54%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast28°C · Drizzle
Wind10 km/h
Humidity67%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Ruzic A.Charaeva A.
5 — fresherDays since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
33 — fresherGames · 7 days86
4Matches · 14 days4
98Games · 14 days86 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/charaeva-vs-ruzic-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).