Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina CharaevaHamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · WTA · Round of 32
#212WTA
1664ELO
1651Clay ELO
29 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 21 July 2026 ·
clay
#118WTA
1694ELO
1652Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWWL
Sorribes Tormo S.
vs
Charaeva A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Sorribes Tormo S.42%
Charaeva A.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Charaeva A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1651
Surface ELO
5.0+1 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1664
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.17 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
56%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.4
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sorribes Tormo S.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Charaeva A.

Charaeva A.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sorribes Tormo S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
36
56
Break points saved·Dominant
0
75
Break points won·Clear edge
97
85
Deciding sets·Even
68
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
89

Sorribes Tormo S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Charaeva A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 61%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw