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Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Aleksandar Kovacevic — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Qualifying Round of 32

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisQ32QualifyingHardSat 31 Oct · 12:30Live
Odds

Cerundolo J. a break up in the 2ndCerundolo J. unbroken · Kovacevic A. broken once

Juan Manuel Cerundolo faces Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris qualifying round of 32 on hard. Juan Manuel Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #54, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Live Win Probability

i
LIVE
—Cerundolo J.
—Kovacevic A.
Juan Manuel CerundoloAleksandar Kovacevic
Serve flowCerundolo J. broken once · Kovacevic A. broken twice.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Cerundolo J.
8/9Kovacevic A.
6/8
Set 1Set 2

Match momentum

Last 30 pointsCerundolo J.Kovacevic A.
EvenCerundolo…Kovacevic…
Swinging toCerundolo J.18
6Last 12 points6
9Last 3 games6
2/6Break points0/1
30 pointsNow

Break of serve

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Cerundolo J.Kovacevic A.
Serve
  • 9Aces2
  • 2Double faults0
  • 68%1st serve points won79%
  • 89% · 8/9Service games held75% · 6/8
Return
  • 25%Break points won33%
  • 2Breaks of serve1

Key moments

Latest first
  1. BREAKSet 2 · Game 2Cerundolo J. broke serve
  2. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 11Kovacevic A. held to love
  3. BREAKSet 1 · Game 8Kovacevic A. broke serve
  4. BREAKSet 1 · Game 7Cerundolo J. broke serve
  5. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 3Kovacevic A. held to love
Pre-match context

Kovacevic A. came in with the higher hard rating (1691 vs 1643); Cerundolo J. with the better recent record (4–6 vs 2–8) and the head-to-head lead (1–0).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
63%37%
Umpiry Score
6.2/10/105.0
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO1 923
Hard ELO1 643
Last 104–6
Age24
Height183 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $2.7M2026 $1.0M
ELO1 786
Hard ELO1 691
Last 102–8
Age28
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.3M2026 $834K

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months

Cerundolo J. and Kovacevic A. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Cerundolo J. went 7–3 (70%) against them, Kovacevic A. 1–8 (11%). Cerundolo J. came out clearly better against 5 of 8 comparable opponents, Kovacevic A. against 0.

7–370%Cerundolo J. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents1–811%Kovacevic A. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
15–7Sets7–17
123–107Games103–132
4–3Tiebreaks2–3
2–2Deciding sets1–4
Show 5 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Cerundolo J. leads 1–0
10

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · Clutch
ShowHide
Cerundolo J.Kovacevic A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate58% (36–26) (ahead)40% (23–34)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1923 (ahead)1786
Hard-court ELO16431691 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 56 matches
1st-serve points won73%76% (ahead)
Return points won37% (ahead)30%
Aces / match5.59.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 57 vs 56 matches
Break points saved62%63% (ahead)

Draw

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Weather12°C · Mainly clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity66%

Match info

  • Started12:30 local

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Cerundolo J.Kovacevic A.
5 — fresherDays since last match4
3Matches · 7 days3
77 — fresherGames · 7 days87
4Matches · 14 days4
98 — fresherGames · 14 days118
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Aleksandar Kovacevic — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-31/cerundolo-vs-kovacevic-rolex-paris-masters-paris-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 31 October 2026).