Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

Toray Pan Pacific Open - TokyoQuarter-finalHardFri 30 Oct · 03:00 UTCCenter · After 1 match

Mia PohankovaWTA #144 · SVK56%

VSToss-up

Alycia ParksWTA #65 · USA44%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

56%44%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Pohankova M.5.5/10

Slight disadvantage

Parks A.4.7/10

Heavy underdog

Why

SurfaceHard Elo 1637Informative

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1708Supports Pohankova M.

Recent run4-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Parks A.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Pohankova M.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 711

Hard ELO1 660

Last 107–3

Age18

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $93K2026 $65K

ELO1 760

Hard ELO1 667

Last 105–5

Age25

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.7M2026 $1.1M

Mia Pohankova faces Alycia Parks in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo quarter-final on hard. Alycia Parks is the paper favourite — ranked #65 — but Mia Pohankova arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Alycia Parks's 5 of 10.

Key context

Freshness: Mia Pohankova comes in with 2 days of rest and 34 games in 14d, vs Alycia Parks's 0 and 147.
Last match: Alycia Parks dropped just 4 games past Kimberly Birrell.
Win streak: Alycia Parks arrives on a 4-match winning run.

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Pohankova M. and Parks A. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Pohankova M. went 1–1 (50%) against them, Parks A. 1–2 (33%).

1–150%Pohankova M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–233%Parks A. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–2Sets2–4

11–14Games25–30

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Sakkari M.#30L1-6 4-6Wuhan · hardL4-6 3-6Athens · hard
vs Korpatsch T.#59Hard to compareW6-2Berlin · grassL3-6 3-6Angers 125 · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Pohankova M.Parks A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–35–5

Season win rate63% (26–15)50% (33–33)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17111760

Hard-court ELO16601667

Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 65 matches

1st-serve points won68%69%

Return points won44%41%

Aces / match4.56.2

ClutchLast 41 vs 65 matches

Break points saved61%55%

When it starts

Center · After 1 match · Not before 11:30 AM

1Rakhimova K. v Joint M.Starting at 10:30 AM
2This match: Pohankova M. v Parks A.This match
3Rybakina E. v Fernandez L.Not before 2:30 PM
4Eala A. v Shnaider D.Not before 5:00 PM

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Pohankova M.Parks A.

2Days since last match0

1Matches · 7 days4

17Games · 7 days85

2Matches · 14 days7

34Games · 14 days147

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-30/parks-vs-pohankova-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 30 October 2026).