Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari | Wuhan Round of 16

UMPIRY

WuhanR16HardThu 15 Oct · 11:00Court 1 · Next on

Mia PohankovaWTA #202 · SVK34%

VSSlight edge · Sakkari M.

Maria SakkariWTA #35 · GRE66%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Sakkari M.

34%66%

Sakkari M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Pohankova M.6.5/10

Marginal edge

Sakkari M.7.1/10

Strong advantage

Why

Surface+159 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sakkari M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1812Supports Sakkari M.

Opponent formOpponent hot: 8 of last 10Against the prediction · Pohankova M.

Recent run2-match win streakBoth players

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 703

Hard ELO1 655

Last 108–2

Age17

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $93K2026 $65K

ELO1 951

Hard ELO1 830

Last 106–4

Age31

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $15.3M2026 $1.6M

Mia Pohankova faces Maria Sakkari in the Wuhan round of 16 on hard. Maria Sakkari is the paper favourite — ranked #35, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage — but Mia Pohankova arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Maria Sakkari's 6 of 10.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Mia Pohankova 49 games in 14 days, Maria Sakkari 82.
Last match: Maria Sakkari dropped the opening set before beating Marta Kostyuk 4–6 6–2 6–2.
Surface form: Mia Pohankova 8 of 10, Maria Sakkari 6 of 10 on hard recently — Mia Pohankova the sharper of late.

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Pohankova M. and Sakkari M. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Pohankova M. went 2–0 (100%) against them, Sakkari M. 2–0 (100%).

2–0100%Pohankova M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents2–0100%Sakkari M. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

4–0Sets4–0

25–14Games25–12

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Tauson C.#53W6-4 6-4s Hertogenbosch · grassW6-3 6-3Wimbledon · grass
vs Hibino N.#196W7-5 6-1Chennai · hardW7-5 6-1Singapore · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Pohankova M.Sakkari M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–26–4

Season win rate63% (24–14)56% (25–20)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17031951

Hard-court ELO16551830

Serve vs returnLast 38 vs 45 matches

1st-serve points won68%65%

Return points won44%43%

Aces / match4.53.0

ClutchLast 38 vs 45 matches

Break points saved61%57%

When it starts

Court 1 · Next on · Starting at 11:00 AM

1This match: Pohankova M. v Sakkari M.This match
2Jovic I. v Chwalinska M.Not before 12:00 PM
3Paolini J. v Kartal S.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 1 · 11:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast19°C · Showers

Wind9 km/h

Humidity95%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Pohankova M.Sakkari M.

1Days since last match1

2Matches · 7 days2

49Games · 7 days44

2Matches · 14 days4

49Games · 14 days82

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari — Wuhan Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/pohankova-vs-sakkari-wuhan-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).