Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 16
Lucrezia Stefanini faces Ayla Aksu in the Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur round of 16 on hard. Lucrezia Stefanini is the paper favourite — ranked #118, leading the head-to-head 2–1 — but Ayla Aksu rides a 6-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Lucrezia Stefanini comes in with 1 days of rest and 54 games in 14d, vs Ayla Aksu's 2 and 19.
- Last match: Lucrezia Stefanini dropped just 5 games past Isabella Maria Serban.
- Head-to-head: Lucrezia Stefanini leads the head-to-head 2–1, 1–1 on hard. Last met at Samsun Open - Samsun 2026.
Live Win Probability
i—Stefanini L.
—Aksu A.
Lucrezia StefaniniAyla Aksu
Serve flowStefanini L. unbroken · Aksu A. unbroken.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Stefanini L.1/1Aksu A.1/1
Set 1
Match momentumInterrupted
Too early to read the momentum
Key moments
Latest first- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 2Stefanini L. held to love
Pre-match context
Stefanini L. came in with the higher hard rating (1712 vs 1614) and the head-to-head lead (2–1).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
70%30%
Umpiry Score
5.5/10/106.8
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
3 meetings · Stefanini L. leads 2–121
Hard: level 1–1 · Clay: Stefanini L. leads 1–0
- Aksu A.October 2026Samsun Open - SamsunHard7-5 2-6 6-2
- Stefanini L.August 2026US OpenHard2-6 3-6
- Stefanini L.August 2023W60 Collonge-BelleriveClay6-1 7-6(2)
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Stefanini L.Aksu A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate58% (38–28)58% (30–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1808 (ahead)1669
Hard-court ELO1712 (ahead)1614
Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won55%61% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)46%
Aces / match0.21.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 55 vs 49 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)53%
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu — Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/aksu-vs-stefanini-valle-d-aosta-ladies-open-courmayeur-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).