UMPIRY
EN

Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Quevedo K.
65%35%

Quevedo K. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Quevedo K.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Kenin S.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+4 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Kenin S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1757Supports Quevedo K.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Quevedo K.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 814
Hard ELO1 658
Last 107–3
Age20
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $433K2026 $308K
ELO1 767
Hard ELO1 643
Last 103–7
Age27
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $12.8M2026 $1.1M

Kaitlin Quevedo faces Sofia Kenin in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. Kaitlin Quevedo holds the paper edge — ranked #79.

Key context

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Quevedo K. and Kenin S. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Quevedo K. went 4–1 (80%) against them, Kenin S. 2–5 (29%). Quevedo K. came out better against 2 of 4 comparable opponents, Kenin S. against 0.

4–180%Quevedo K. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents2–529%Kenin S. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–3Sets6–11
55–43Games68–88
0–0Tiebreaks1–0
1–0Deciding sets1–2
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Quevedo K.Kenin S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate66% (39–20) (ahead)24% (8–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1814 (ahead)1767
Hard-court ELO1658 (ahead)1643
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 34 matches
1st-serve points won64% (ahead)62%
Return points won46% (ahead)39%
Aces / match2.3 (ahead)1.7
ClutchLast 56 vs 34 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast28°C · Clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity47%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Quevedo K.Kenin S.
6 — fresherDays since last match5
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
21 — fresherGames · 7 days40
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
21 — fresherGames · 14 days61
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/kenin-vs-quevedo-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).