Maria Lourdes Carle vs Laura Pigossi

UMPIRY

Curitiba Open - CuritibaR32ClayTue 27 Oct · 11:00

Maria Lourdes CarleWTA #240 · ARG66%

VSSlight edge · Carle M.

Laura PigossiWTA #243 · BRA34%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Carle M.

66%34%

Carle M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Carle M.5.4/10

Clear underdog

Pigossi L.4.1/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+8 Clay Elo edgeSupports Carle M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1484Supports Carle M.

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headTrails 1–2 on claySupports Carle M.

Surface switchHard → ClaySupports Carle M.

ELO1 700

Clay ELO1 684

Last 104–6

Age26

Height166 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.4M2026 $181K

ELO1 628

Clay ELO1 643

Last 105–5

Age32

Height164 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $173K

Maria Lourdes Carle faces Laura Pigossi in the Curitiba Open - Curitiba round of 32 on clay. Maria Lourdes Carle is the paper favourite — ranked #240 — but Laura Pigossi has won 2 of their 3 previous meetings. Laura Pigossi brings the better recent clay form (5 of 7).

Key context

Head-to-head: Laura Pigossi leads the head-to-head 2–1. Last met at Contrexeville 2026.
Surface form: Maria Lourdes Carle 3 of 7, Laura Pigossi 5 of 7 on clay recently — Laura Pigossi the sharper of late.

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Carle M. and Pigossi L. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Carle M. went 0–2 (0%) against them, Pigossi L. 1–1 (50%).

0–20%Carle M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–150%Pigossi L. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

0–4Sets3–2

12–24Games20–16

0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Valdmannova V.#167L3-6 3-6US Open · hardL6-2 1-6 1-6Sao Paulo · hard
vs Vergara Rivera A.#416L2-6 4-6Tucuman 125 · clayW6-1 6-1Colina 125 · clay

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Pigossi L. leads 2–1

Carle M.July 2026ContrexevilleClay6-2 6-1
Pigossi L.November 2023Buenos Aires 125Clay6-3 6-2
Pigossi L.October 2021W25 Rio do SulClay6-1 6-3

Evidence

Carle M.Pigossi L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–65–5

Season win rate49% (24–25)49% (21–22)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17001628

Clay-court ELO16841643

Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 38 matches

1st-serve points won58%54%

Return points won49%47%

Aces / match0.80.9

ClutchLast 47 vs 38 matches

Break points saved51%51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast16°C · Drizzle

Wind10 km/h

Humidity65%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Maria Lourdes Carle vs Laura Pigossi — Curitiba Open - Curitiba Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/carle-vs-pigossi-curitiba-open-curitiba-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).