Vendula Valdmannova vs Maria Lourdes CarleUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#165WTA
1608ELO
1602Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 8 · 3rd on
#219WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWL
Valdmannova V.
6-3 6-3
Lourdes Carle M.
Valdmannova V.
662
Lourdes Carle M.
330

Vendula Valdmannova defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 6-3, 6-3 in the first round of US Open qualifying. Valdmannova and Carle were even in aces and double faults, but Valdmannova won a higher percentage of first-serve points and converted more service breaks. Valdmannova converted 46% of her break points, while Carle converted 75%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Return points won·Even
46%
49%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Valdmannova V.64%
Lourdes Carle M.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Valdmannova V. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+143 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1459
6.6Overall Elo 1608
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1484
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
56
91

Valdmannova V.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d) · Lourdes Carle M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw