Xin Yu Wang vs Alycia Parks | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

Toray Pan Pacific Open - TokyoR32HardMon 26 Oct · 01:30 UTCCenter · Next on

Xin Yu WangWTA #39 · CHN69%

VSClear favourite · Wang X.

Alycia ParksWTA #64 · USA31%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Wang X.

69%31%

Clear edge for Wang X. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Wang X.6.0/10

Even match

Parks A.4.5/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+77 Hard Elo edgeSupports Wang X.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1760Supports Wang X.

Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Parks A.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Parks A.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Wang X.

ELO1 851

Hard ELO1 730

Last 105–5

Age25

Height182 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $6.0M2026 $1.4M

ELO1 740

Hard ELO1 647

Last 104–6

Age25

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.7M2026 $1.1M

Xin Yu Wang faces Alycia Parks in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo round of 32 on hard. Xin Yu Wang is the paper favourite — ranked #39, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage — but Alycia Parks has won their only previous meeting. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Xin Yu Wang comes in with 13 days of rest and 14 games in 14d, vs Alycia Parks's 0 and 111.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Xin Yu Wang has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 30 vs 0).
Last match: Alycia Parks dropped just 3 games past Heather Watson.

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Wang X. and Parks A. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Wang X. went 5–2 (71%) against them, Parks A. 3–5 (38%). Wang X. came out clearly better against 3 of 5 comparable opponents, Parks A. against 0.

5–271%Wang X. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents3–538%Parks A. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

11–6Sets8–11

87–72Games79–94

2–1Deciding sets1–2

vs Eala A.#20W5-7 7-5 6-4Auckland · hardW0-6 6-3 6-2Australian Open · hard
vs Fernandez L.#30W6-3 6-4Bad Homburg · grassW6-4 6-4Roland Garros · clay
vs Korpatsch T.#56L2-6 6-2 3-6Roland Garros · clayL3-6 3-6Angers 125 · hard

Show 2 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Cocciaretto E.#65W6-3 2-6 6-2Wimbledon · grassW6-3 6-2Madrid · clay
vs Arango E.#164W6-4 6-2US Open · hardL6-4 3-6 5-7Eastbourne · grass

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Parks A. leads 1–0

Parks A.February 2025DubaiHard6-3 6-3

Evidence

Wang X.Parks A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–54–6

Season win rate52% (24–22)48% (31–33)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18511740

Hard-court ELO17301647

Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 63 matches

1st-serve points won65%69%

Return points won42%41%

Aces / match3.16.2

ClutchLast 46 vs 63 matches

Break points saved56%55%

When it starts

Center · Next on · Starting at 10:30 AM

1This match: Wang X. v Parks A.This match
2Kasatkina D. v Gibson T.Not before 11:30 AM

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Wang X.Parks A.

13Days since last match0

0Matches · 7 days4

0Games · 7 days93

1Matches · 14 days5

14Games · 14 days111

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Xin Yu Wang vs Alycia Parks — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/parks-vs-wang-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).