Emiliana Arango vs Xin Yu Wang — US Open Round of 128
Arango E.
Emiliana Arango faces Xin Yu Wang in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Xin Yu Wang holds the paper edge — ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Yu Wang X. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Xin Yu Wang leads on Serve Rating (33), Emiliana Arango on Return Rating (68).
- Under pressure: Xin Yu Wang has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 35 vs Emiliana Arango's 15).
- Head-to-head: Xin Yu Wang leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at Doha 2026.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadArango E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Yu Wang X.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Doha | R64 | hard | Xin Yu Wang | 6-1 7-5 |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati | R128 | hard | Xin Yu Wang | 7-6 6-3 |