Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic

UMPIRY

Toray Pan Pacific Open - TokyoR32HardMon 26 Oct · ~06:45 UTCCenter · Next on

Alexandra Eala(8)WTA #19 · PHI85%

VSStrong favourite · Eala A.

Mika StojsavljevicWTA #411 · GBR15%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Eala A.

85%15%

Clear edge for Eala A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Eala A.7.1/10

Strong advantage

Stojsavljevic M.4.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface+401 Hard Elo edgeSupports Eala A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1895Supports Eala A.

Recent runLost last 4Informative

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 976

Hard ELO1 810

Last 104–6

Age21

Height173 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $3.4M2026 $2.0M

ELO1 601

Hard ELO1 585

Last 105–5

Age17

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $324K2026 $150K

Alexandra Eala faces Mika Stojsavljevic in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo round of 32 on hard. Alexandra Eala is the paper favourite — ranked #19, a roughly 400-point hard Elo advantage — but Mika Stojsavljevic arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 8 on hard to Alexandra Eala's 3 of 8.

Key context

Fatigue load: Mika Stojsavljevic carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Alexandra Eala 3 of 8, Mika Stojsavljevic 4 of 8 on hard recently — Mika Stojsavljevic the sharper of late.

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Eala A. and Stojsavljevic M. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Eala A. went 3–1 (75%) against them, Stojsavljevic M. 0–3 (0%). Eala A. came out better against 2 of 3 comparable opponents, Stojsavljevic M. against 0 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (lower-tier event).

3–175%Eala A. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents0–30%Stojsavljevic M. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

6–3Sets0–5

45–39Games10–30

1–0Deciding sets0–0

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

vs Bencic B.#20L4-6 0-6Toronto · hardL2-6 1-6Wimbledon · grass
vs Vekic D.#36W7-5 6-4Berlin · grassL2-6 3-6London · grass
vs Sakatsume H.#114W6-4 6-0Manila 125 · hardL2-6Nottingham · grass

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Eala A.Stojsavljevic M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–65–5

Season win rate64% (42–24)43% (13–17)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19761601

Hard-court ELO18101585

Serve vs returnLast 65 vs 27 matches

1st-serve points won63%66%

Return points won45%41%

Aces / match1.34.7

ClutchLast 65 vs 27 matches

Break points saved56%53%

When it starts

Center · Next on · Not before 5:00 PM

1Wang X. v Parks A.1-6 6-7(7)
2Kasatkina D. v Gibson T.0-6 5-7
3This match: Eala A. v Stojsavljevic M.This match

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/eala-vs-stojsavljevic-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).