Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala — Berlin Round of 32
PHIWC
Vekic D.
Donna Vekic faces Alexandra Eala in the Berlin round of 32 on grass. Alexandra Eala is the paper favourite — ranked #33, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 110-point grass Elo advantage — but Donna Vekic rides a 6-match win streak. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Eala A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Donna Vekic 140 games in 14 days, Alexandra Eala 255.
- Win streak: Donna Vekic arrives on a 6-match winning run.
- Head-to-head: Alexandra Eala leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Auckland 2026.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Auckland | R32 | hard | Alexandra Eala | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |