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Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR32HardMon 26 Oct · 17:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
43%57%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Dart H.5.1/10
Clear underdog
Prozorova T.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+78 Hard Elo edgeSupports Prozorova T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1674Supports Prozorova T.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Dart H.
Recent run2-match win streakBoth players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 789
Hard ELO1 743
Last 107–3
Age30
EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $570K
ELO1 762
Hard ELO1 696
Last 107–3
Age23
EarningsCareer $601K2026 $262K

Harriet Dart faces Tatiana Prozorova in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. Harriet Dart holds the paper edge — ranked #117. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

4 shared · last 12 months

Dart H. and Prozorova T. faced 4 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Dart H. went 2–2 (50%) against them, Prozorova T. 0–4 (0%). Dart H. came out better against 2 of 3 comparable opponents, Prozorova T. against 0 — though 2 of those edges carry caveats (lower-tier event).

2–250%Dart H. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents0–40%Prozorova T. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
6–6Sets2–8
57–59Games47–60
0–0Tiebreaks0–1
2–2Deciding sets0–2

Only 4 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Dart H.Prozorova T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate62% (37–23)67% (32–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1789 (ahead)1762
Hard-court ELO1743 (ahead)1696
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 46 matches
1st-serve points won65%68% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)45%
Aces / match1.82.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 54 vs 46 matches
Break points saved51%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

17:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast31°C · Clear
Wind9 km/h
Humidity38%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Dart H.Prozorova T.
1Days since last match1
3Matches · 7 days2 — fresher
88Games · 7 days63 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days3 — fresher
104Games · 14 days87 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/dart-vs-prozorova-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).