Zeynep Sonmez vs Harriet DartEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 32
#61WTA
1746ELO
1623Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#152WTA
1613ELO
1534Grass ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLWLWL
Sonmez Z.
vs
Dart H.

Zeynep Sonmez faces Harriet Dart in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Zeynep Sonmez holds the paper edge — ranked #61, a roughly 90-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Sonmez Z.74%
Dart H.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sonmez Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+89 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Grass Elo 1534
6.1Overall Elo 1746
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1612
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.98 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
1.92 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.7Home country · 13/29 here
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Sonmez Z.Stable
Dart H.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
50%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sonmez Z.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Dart H.

Dart H.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sonmez Z.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
56
Break points saved·Dominant
80
37
Break points won·Slight edge
97
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
91
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
57
85

Sonmez Z.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 92 games (7d) · Dart H.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.