Heather Watson vs Harriet Dart — US Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
Heather Watson
GBR
Heather Watson
#445WTA
1572ELO
1548Hard ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 8 · 1st on
Harriet Dart
GBR
Harriet Dart
#131WTA
1597ELO
1580Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWWL
Watson H.
6-2 4-6 1-6
Dart H.
Watson H.
6411
Dart H.
2662

Harriet Dart defeated Heather Watson in the second round of US Open qualifying, 2-6, 6-4, 6-1. Dart hit four aces and converted 50% of her break points, while Watson converted 29%. The win advanced Dart in the qualifying draw.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-28W40+H CalviQFhardHeather Watson3-6 6-4 6-2
2021-03-15MonterreyR32hardHarriet Dart6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
Watson H.Dart H.
1st serve in·Even
56%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Clear edge
61%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Watson H.Dart H.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
7
43
Break points saved·Clear edge
15
3
Break points won·Dominant
49
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
22
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
14
53

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Watson H.35%
Dart H.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dart H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Watson H.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Dart H.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1548
Surface ELO
5.4+32 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1572
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1597
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Watson H.Dart H.
Freshness·Even
57
59

Watson H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 88 games (7d) · Dart H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw