Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico Coria — Guayaquil Round of 32
Why
Surface+225 Clay Elo edgeSupports Ugo Carabelli C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1759Supports Ugo Carabelli C.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 4–1 on claySupports Ugo Carabelli C.
Surface switchHard → ClayAgainst the prediction · Coria F.
ELO1 831
Clay ELO1 809
Last 102–8
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.9M2026 $839K
ELO1 699
Clay ELO1 666
Last 102–8
Age34
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.5M2026 $89K
Camilo Ugo Carabelli faces Federico Coria in the Guayaquil round of 32 on clay. Camilo Ugo Carabelli holds the paper edge — ranked #75, leading the head-to-head 4–2, a roughly 230-point clay Elo advantage.
Key context
- Freshness: Camilo Ugo Carabelli comes in with 15 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Federico Coria's 5 and 23.
- Head-to-head: Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads the head-to-head 4–2, 4–1 on clay. Last met at Santiago 2025.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
6 meetings · Ugo Carabelli C. leads 4–242
Clay: Ugo Carabelli C. leads 4–1 · Hard: Coria F. leads 1–0
- Ugo Carabelli C.February 2025SantiagoClay6-4 6-3
- Ugo Carabelli C.January 2024Piracicaba CHClay7-5 6-4
- Ugo Carabelli C.November 2023Montevideo CHClay7-6 6-0
- Coria F.August 2023US OpenHard6-3 6-1
- Ugo Carabelli C.September 2019Buenos Aires CHClay6-4 6-4
Evidence
Ugo Carabelli C.Coria F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–82–8
Season win rate48% (22–24) (ahead)32% (6–13)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1831 (ahead)1699
Clay-court ELO1809 (ahead)1666
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 19 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)62%
Return points won37%37%
Aces / match3.7 (ahead)1.9
ClutchLast 46 vs 19 matches
Break points saved58%59% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico Coria — Guayaquil Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/carabelli-vs-coria-guayaquil-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).