Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico CoriaSantiago Quarter-final

Santiago · ATP · Quarter-final
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
clay
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-4 6-3
Coria F.
Ugo Carabelli C.
662
Coria F.
430

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Federico Coria 6-4 6-3 in the Santiago quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Coria F.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Coria F.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
67
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
71
Break points won·Slight edge
62
72
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
78
Tiebreaks·Even
72
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.5+225 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Clay Elo 1515
7.4Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1537
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
7.1
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
4.2
0.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
80

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest · Coria F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 29%