Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico CoriaPiracicaba CH Final

Piracicaba CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 January 2024
clay
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-5 6-4
Coria F.
Ugo Carabelli C.
762
Coria F.
540

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Federico Coria 7-5 6-4 in the Piracicaba CH final on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's semi-final. Camilo Ugo Carabelli extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24SantiagoQFclayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Coria F.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Coria F.
24
Serve
28
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
40%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (175 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
67
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
71
Break points won·Slight edge
62
72
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
78
Tiebreaks·Even
72
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+225 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Clay Elo 1515
7.4Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1537
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
4.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3.4
Minutes 14d
7.3
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
80

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest · Coria F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast