Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

Toray Pan Pacific Open - TokyoQ32QualifyingHardSat 24 Oct · 03:00 UTC

Maya JointWTA #90 · AUS61%

VSSlight edge · Joint M.

Viktorija GolubicWTA #82 · SUI39%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Joint M.

61%39%

Joint M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Joint M.5.9/10

Even match

Golubic V.5.9/10

Even match

Why

Surface+63 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Golubic V.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1775Against the prediction · Golubic V.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Joint M.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Golubic V.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 835

Hard ELO1 722

Last 106–4

Age20

Height167 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $1.2M

ELO1 857

Hard ELO1 708

Last 104–6

Age34

Height169 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $5.8M2026 $949K

Maya Joint faces Viktorija Golubic in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Viktorija Golubic is the paper favourite — ranked #82, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage — but Maya Joint has won 2 of their 3 previous meetings. Maya Joint brings the better recent hard form (6 of 10).

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Maya Joint 104 games in 14 days, Viktorija Golubic 64.
Under pressure: Maya Joint has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 51 vs Viktorija Golubic's 19).
Head-to-head: Maya Joint leads the head-to-head 2–1, 1–0 on hard. Last met at Rome 2026.

Common opponents

12 shared · last 12 months

Joint M. and Golubic V. faced 12 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Joint M. went 3–9 (25%) against them, Golubic V. 9–5 (64%). Golubic V. came out better against 5 of 12 comparable opponents, Joint M. against 0.

3–925%Joint M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents9–564%Golubic V. · better vs 5

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

9–19Sets20–14

103–145Games159–149

1–2Tiebreaks1–1

1–3Deciding sets4–2

vs Andreeva M.#3L2-6 0-6Adelaide · hardL1-6 6-4 0-6Rome · clay
vs Noskova L.#8L4-6 0-6Doha · hardL1-6 4-6BJK Cup Qualifiers · hard
vs Swiatek I.#9L1-6 1-6United Cup · hardL2-6 1-6Toronto · hard

Show 9 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Li A.#25L1-6 2-6Strasbourg · clayW6-3 2-6 6-3Nottingham · grass
vs Birrell K.#41L4-6 2-6Korea Open - Seoul · hardW7-6(7) 6-4Toronto · hard
vs Tjen J.#46L6-7 6-3 3-6Abu Dhabi · hardL6-7(8) 7-5 5-7Cincinnati · hard
vs Sonmez Z.#63L6-3 4-6 3-6Japan Open - Osaka · hardW7-5 4-6 6-4Nottingham · grass
vs Putintseva Y.#66W0-6 6-3 6-1Monterrey · hardW7-5 6-2Jiujiang · hard
vs Kraus S.#76L3-6 6-3 5-7Beijing · hardW6-4 6-0Ostrava · hard
vs Udvardy P.#83L6-7(5) 1-6Monterrey · hardW6-0 6-2Roland Garros · clay
vs Kenin S.#126W7-6 6-4Adelaide · hardW6-3 6-4Nottingham · grass
vs Osuigwe W.#230W6-4 6-1Memphis · hardW2-6 6-2 6-2Saint Malo 125 · clay

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Joint M. leads 2–1

Clay: level 1–1 · Hard: Joint M. leads 1–0

Golubic V.May 2026RomeClay7-5 6-2
Joint M.October 2025TokyoHard1-6 7-6 6-2
Joint M.May 2025RomeClay4-6 7-5 6-2

Evidence

Joint M.Golubic V.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–44–6

Season win rate42% (19–26)54% (29–25)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18351857

Hard-court ELO17221708

Serve vs returnLast 44 vs 52 matches

1st-serve points won58%59%

Return points won44%46%

Aces / match1.80.9

ClutchLast 44 vs 52 matches

Break points saved55%54%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Joint M.Golubic V.

3Days since last match2

3Matches · 7 days2

73Games · 7 days31

4Matches · 14 days3

104Games · 14 days64

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-24/golubic-vs-joint-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 24 October 2026).