Ann Li vs Viktorija Golubic — Nottingham Quarter-final
USA
Li A.
Ann Li faces Viktorija Golubic in the Nottingham quarter-final on grass. Ann Li is the paper favourite — ranked #29 — but Viktorija Golubic rides a 4-match win streak. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Ann Li ahead 1–0 on grass.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Ann Li 33 games in 14 days, Viktorija Golubic 121.
- Last match: Ann Li dropped the opening set before beating Taylah Preston 5–7 6–2 6–2.
- Last match: Viktorija Golubic edged Zeynep Sonmez in three tight sets (7–5 4–6 6–4).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadLi A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Golubic V.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | R128 | grass | Ann Li | 6-3 4-6 6-1 |
| 2021-03-15 | Monterrey | SF | hard | Viktorija Golubic | 6-2 6-4 |