Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo

UMPIRY

European Open - BrusselsQuarter-finalHardFri 23 Oct · 10:00

Clement ChidekhATP #152 · FRA30%

VSClear favourite · Cerundolo F.

Francisco Cerundolo(3)ATP #21 · ARG70%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Cerundolo F.

30%70%

Clear edge for Cerundolo F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Chidekh C.5.4/10

Clear underdog

Cerundolo F.7.5/10

Dominant favourite

Why

Surface+357 Hard Elo edgeSupports Cerundolo F.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1931Supports Cerundolo F.

Recent run4-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Chidekh C.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Chidekh C.

Opponent formOpponent hot: 9 of last 10Against the prediction · Chidekh C.

ELO1 814

Hard ELO1 759

Last 109–1

Age25

Height180 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $450K2026 $139K

ELO2 055

Hard ELO1 892

Last 106–4

Age28

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $11.8M2026 $2.9M

Clement Chidekh faces Francisco Cerundolo in the European Open - Brussels quarter-final on hard. Francisco Cerundolo is the paper favourite — ranked #21, a roughly 360-point hard Elo advantage — but Clement Chidekh arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on hard to Francisco Cerundolo's 6 of 10.

Key context

Under pressure: Francisco Cerundolo has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 87 vs Clement Chidekh's 32).
Freshness: Workload contrast: Clement Chidekh 101 games in 14 days, Francisco Cerundolo 71.
Last match: Francisco Cerundolo edged Martin Damm in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Chidekh C. and Cerundolo F. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Chidekh C. went 1–1 (50%) against them, Cerundolo F. 2–1 (67%).

1–150%Chidekh C. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents2–167%Cerundolo F. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

3–2Sets6–3

25–23Games46–43

1–0Tiebreaks1–0

0–1Deciding sets1–1

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Van De Zandschulp B.#38W6-1 6-4European Open - Brussels · hardW5-7 6-4 6-3Beijing · hard
vs Gea A.#44L4-6 7-6(4) 2-6US Open · hardL7-6(11) 4-6 0-6Los Cabos · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Chidekh C.Cerundolo F.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss9–16–4

Season win rate69% (53–24)63% (36–21)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18142055

Hard-court ELO17591892

Serve vs returnLast 71 vs 53 matches

1st-serve points won71%71%

Return points won43%40%

Aces / match3.14.2

ClutchLast 71 vs 53 matches

Break points saved59%63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast11°C · Overcast

Wind27 km/h

Humidity82%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Chidekh C.Cerundolo F.

1Days since last match1

4Matches · 7 days1

75Games · 7 days23

5Matches · 14 days3

101Games · 14 days71

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo — European Open - Brussels Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-23/cerundolo-vs-chidekh-european-open-brussels-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 23 October 2026).