Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 16
Why
Surface+66 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Uchijima M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1680Against the prediction · Uchijima M.
Recent run3-match win streakSupports Stoiana M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Stoiana M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 794
Hard ELO1 694
Last 107–3
Age23
EarningsCareer $421K2026 $260K
ELO1 729
Hard ELO1 658
Last 104–6
Age25
EarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $524K
Mary Stoiana faces Moyuka Uchijima in the Japan Open - Osaka round of 16 on hard. Mary Stoiana holds the paper edge — ranked #114.
Key context
- Freshness: Mary Stoiana comes in with 2 days of rest and 44 games in 14d, vs Moyuka Uchijima's 10 and 43.
- Last match: Mary Stoiana dropped just 5 games past Oleksandra Oliynykova.
- Surface form: Mary Stoiana 6 of 9, Moyuka Uchijima 4 of 9 on hard recently — Mary Stoiana the sharper of late.
Common opponents
8 shared · last 12 monthsStoiana M. and Uchijima M. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Stoiana M. went 3–5 (38%) against them, Uchijima M. 4–4 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 3 better-results split).
3–538%Stoiana M. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents4–450%Uchijima M. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
9–10Sets9–9
91–86Games81–82
0–2Tiebreaks0–1
0–3Deciding sets1–0
vs Parks A.#64L6-2 4-6 1-6Charleston · clayL2-6 4-6Rabat · clay
vs Valentova T.#88L2-6 6-7Cincinnati · hardW6-7 6-3 6-1Saint Malo 125 · clay- vs Liu C.#95W6-3 7-5Sao Paulo · hardL6-3 0-6 1-4Roland Garros · clay
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vs Zakharova A.#111L6-3 2-6 4-6Austin · hardL2-6 4-6Dubai · hard
vs Sakatsume H.#115L5-7 2-6Canberra 125 · hardW6-2 6-4Toronto · hard
vs Bronzetti L.#135L6-7(7) 6-1 4-6Australian Open · hardW6-4 6-4Antalya 125 2 · clay- vs Brengle M.#192W6-2 6-2Midland 125 · hardW6-4 6-4Canberra 125 · hard
vs Oliynykova O.#62Hard to compareW6-2 6-3Japan Open - Osaka · hardL4-6 4-6Antalya 125 2 · clay
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Stoiana M.Uchijima M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate63% (43–25) (ahead)51% (25–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1794 (ahead)1729
Hard-court ELO1694 (ahead)1658
Serve vs returnLast 65 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won62%64% (ahead)
Return points won46%46%
Aces / match1.62.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 65 vs 48 matches
Break points saved55% (ahead)50%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/stoiana-vs-uchijima-japan-open-osaka-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).