G. Branchetti vs Dante Pagani | M15 Maceio Round of 16

UMPIRY

M15 MaceioR16ClayThu 22 Oct · 11:00

G. BranchettiARG48%

VSToss-up

Dante PaganiARG52%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

48%52%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Branchetti G.4.7/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Pagani D.3.4/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form0 of last 6 on clayInformative

Recent runLost last 6Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 515

Clay ELO1 502

Last 108–2

Age23

ELO1 512

Clay ELO1 510

Last 104–6

Age18

G. Branchetti faces Dante Pagani in the M15 Maceio round of 16 on clay. G. Branchetti brings the better recent clay form (6 of 7).

Key context

Last match: G. Branchetti handed Tomas Martinez a second-set bagel in a 6–3 6–0 win.
Last match: Dante Pagani handed P. H. Chabalgoity a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–2 win.
Surface form: G. Branchetti 6 of 7, Dante Pagani 2 of 7 on clay recently — G. Branchetti the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Branchetti G.Pagani D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–24–6

Season win rate68% (13–6)33% (3–6)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15151512

Clay-court ELO15021510

Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 5 matches

1st-serve points won69%59%

Return points won44%40%

Aces / match2.91.0

ClutchLast 11 vs 5 matches

Break points saved61%46%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast28°C · Drizzle

Wind15 km/h

Humidity72%

Cite this

Umpiry, "G. Branchetti vs Dante Pagani — M15 Maceio Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/branchetti-vs-pagani-m15-maceio-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).