Tomas Martinez vs G. Branchetti | M15 Maceio Round of 32

UMPIRY

M15 MaceioR32ClayWed 21 Oct · 14:30

Tomas Martinez(6)ATP #792 · ARG70%

VSClear favourite · Martinez T.

G. BranchettiARG30%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Martinez T.

70%30%

Clear edge for Martinez T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Martinez T.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Branchetti G.5.9/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on clayInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 559

Clay ELO1 553

Last 106–4

Age23

ELO1 511

Clay ELO1 497

Last 108–2

Age23

Tomas Martinez faces G. Branchetti in the M15 Maceio round of 32 on clay. G. Branchetti brings the better recent clay form (5 of 6).

Key context

Last match: G. Branchetti handed Eric Martins a second-set bagel in a 6–1 6–0 win.
Surface form: Tomas Martinez 3 of 6, G. Branchetti 5 of 6 on clay recently — G. Branchetti the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Tomas Martinez carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Martinez T.Branchetti G.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–48–2

Season win rate46% (13–15)67% (12–6)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15591511

Clay-court ELO15531497

Serve vs returnLast 28 vs 11 matches

1st-serve points won62%69%

Return points won44%44%

Aces / match1.12.9

ClutchLast 28 vs 11 matches

Break points saved46%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:30 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast28°C · Drizzle

Wind23 km/h

Humidity71%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tomas Martinez vs G. Branchetti — M15 Maceio Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/branchetti-vs-martinez-m15-maceio-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).