UMPIRY
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Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley — European Open - Brussels Round of 16

European Open - BrusselsR16HardWed 21 Oct · ~14:30CENTRE COURT · After 2 matches
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Chidekh C.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Fearnley J.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+42 Hard Elo edgeSupports Fearnley J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1600Supports Fearnley J.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Chidekh C.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Chidekh C.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 791
Hard ELO1 740
Last 108–2
Age25
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $450K2026 $139K
ELO1 893
Hard ELO1 737
Last 107–3
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $611K

Clement Chidekh faces Jacob Fearnley in the European Open - Brussels round of 16 on hard. Jacob Fearnley is the paper favourite — ranked #87, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Clement Chidekh rides a 3-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Clement Chidekh ahead 1–0 on hard.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Hard: Chidekh C. leads 1–0 · Grass: Fearnley J. leads 1–0

Evidence

Chidekh C.Fearnley J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate68% (52–24) (ahead)60% (36–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17911893 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1740 (ahead)1737
Serve vs returnLast 69 vs 56 matches
1st-serve points won71%71%
Return points won43% (ahead)40%
Aces / match3.05.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 69 vs 56 matches
Break points saved59% (ahead)57%

When it starts

CENTRE COURT · After 2 matches · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRE COURT · ~14:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast11°C · Overcast
Wind23 km/h
Humidity84%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Chidekh C.Fearnley J.
2Days since last match2
3 — fresherMatches · 7 days5
63 — fresherGames · 7 days94
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
63 — fresherGames · 14 days94
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley — European Open - Brussels Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/chidekh-vs-fearnley-european-open-brussels-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).